Population
85.7k persons, 1 July latest value, 2023
Population on 1 July. UN estimate to 2023, medium variant from 2024; past UN revisions for forecast checks.
US Virgin Islands
All indicators of the Macroscope base for US Virgin Islands, with sources. Below: what past UN and IMF releases projected and what actually happened.
GDP per capita, PPP
46,479
constant 2021 international $, 2022
What the data shows
Computed with the same code as the observations under the main chart and in the API (get_insights). Moving together in time does not prove a cause.
How the indicators changed
- Fertility (TFR): 4.97 in 1950 → 2.09 in 2023 (−58%). Peak: 5.64 in 1965; the latest value is 63% lower. Threshold: below 2.1 since 2023. The trend broke around 1970 and 1976: +0.01 → −0.31 → −0.03 a year.
- Births: 0.87k in 1950 → 0.96k in 2023 (+10%). Peak: 3.01k in 1994; the latest value is 68% lower. The trend broke around 1970 and 1993: +0.1k → 0k → −0.05k a year.
- Population: 27.1k in 1950 → 85.7k in 2023 (×3.2). Peak: 109k in 1999; the latest value is 21% lower. The trend broke around 1983 and 2008: +2.59k → +0.4k → −1.71k a year.
- Internet: 0% in 1990 → 64.4% in 2017 (+64 pp). Thresholds: above 10% since 1999, above 50% since 2014. Fastest growth in 2011–2016: 35.6% → 59.6%.
- Urban share: 55.9% in 1960 → 95.4% in 2025 (+39 pp). Low: 24.4% in 1970; +71 pp since then. Threshold: above 75% since 1992. The trend broke around 1971 and 1999: −3.5 → +2.7 → +0.08 a year.
- GDP per person (PPP): 54,299 PPP dollars in 2002 → 46,479 PPP dollars in 2022 (−14%). Peak: 63,058 PPP dollars in 2008; the latest value is 26% lower. The trend broke around 2008 and 2014: +1,757 → −3,638 → +645 a year.
What changed at the same time
- The fastest decline of "Fertility (TFR)" was in 1970–1980: 5.25 → 3.11. Over the same years: births 2.9k → 2.46k; population 63.9k → 96.6k; urban share 24.4% → 39.6%; no data for the others in those years.
- Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 2.23 → 2.09; births 1.41k → 0.96k; population 103k → 85.7k; internet 45.3% (2013); urban share 94.8% → 95.3%; GDP per person (PPP) 43,564 PPP dollars → 46,479 PPP dollars.
How the indicators relate
- Fertility (TFR) and internet (1990–2017, 25 years): levels are strongly related, in opposite directions (r = −0.79); year-to-year changes show no reliable link (r = −0.17). This looks like a shared trend: both change over time, but not in step from year to year.
- Fertility (TFR) and urban share (1960–2023, 64 years): levels are strongly related, in opposite directions (r = −0.77); year-to-year changes show no reliable link (r = −0.07). This looks like a shared trend: both change over time, but not in step from year to year.
- Fertility (TFR) and GDP per person (PPP) (2002–2022, 21 years): levels are strongly related, in the same direction (r = 0.93); year-to-year changes are related too (r = 0.65). Changes line up from year to year too, which is more than a shared trend.
Forecasts vs actual
- Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 3 of 9 revisions (2002–2022) and above in 5; median gap +10%.
- The UN 2012 projection expected today's level (2.09, 2023) only around 2039: reality is 16 years ahead of it.
- The UN 2022 projection expected today's level (2.09, 2023) only around 2025: reality is 2 years ahead of it.
- Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 1.84 (−12% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.74 (−17% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.24.
- Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 9 of 9 revisions (2002–2022) and above in none; median gap −13%.
- The UN 2002 projection did not expect today's level (0.96k, 2023) before its horizon ended (2047).
- The UN 2022 projection expected today's level (0.96k, 2023) only around 2033: reality is 10 years ahead of it.
- Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 0.76k (−21% vs 2023), 2100 — 0.56k (−41% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0.21k.
- Population: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 11 of 12 revisions (1998–2022) and above in 1; median gap −19%.
- The UN 2004 projection expected today's level (85.7k, 2023) only around 2047: reality is 24 years ahead of it.
- The UN 2022 projection expected today's level (85.7k, 2023) only around 2040: reality is 17 years ahead of it.
- Population: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 71.2k (−17% vs 2023), 2100 — 62k (−28% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 41.3k.
UN projections vs actual
Solid line: actual data, UN WPP 2024 estimates to 2023, then national statistics where comparable with the UN. Dashed: medium variants of past UN revisions. The table shows what each revision expected for the latest year (or five-year period) with actual data.
Population
persons, 1 July
- Actual
- UN 1998
- UN 2000
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 1998 | 2023 | 25 years | 83.7k | 85.7k | +2.3% |
| UN 2000 | 2023 | 23 years | 149k | 85.7k | −42.6% |
| UN 2002 | 2023 | 21 years | 128k | 85.7k | −33% |
| UN 2004 | 2023 | 19 years | 108k | 85.7k | −20.8% |
| UN 2006 | 2023 | 17 years | 108k | 85.7k | −20.6% |
| UN 2008 | 2023 | 15 years | 104k | 85.7k | −17.6% |
| UN 2010 | 2023 | 13 years | 105k | 85.7k | −18.3% |
| UN 2012 | 2023 | 11 years | 106k | 85.7k | −19.4% |
| UN 2015 | 2023 | 8 years | 107k | 85.7k | −20% |
| UN 2017 | 2023 | 6 years | 104k | 85.7k | −17.9% |
| UN 2019 | 2023 | 4 years | 104k | 85.7k | −17.3% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 98.8k | 85.7k | −13.2% |
Births
births per year
- Actual
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2002 | 2015–2020 | 16 years | 1.77k | 1.19k | −32.9% |
| UN 2004 | 2015–2020 | 14 years | 1.47k | 1.19k | −19.1% |
| UN 2006 | 2015–2020 | 12 years | 1.47k | 1.19k | −19.4% |
| UN 2008 | 2015–2020 | 10 years | 1.33k | 1.19k | −10.6% |
| UN 2010 | 2015–2020 | 8 years | 1.26k | 1.19k | −6.1% |
| UN 2012 | 2015–2020 | 6 years | 1.45k | 1.19k | −18.4% |
| UN 2015 | 2015–2020 | 2 years | 1.37k | 1.19k | −13.3% |
| UN 2017 | 2015–2020 | 0 years | 1.33k | 1.19k | −10.9% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 1.09k | 0.96k | −11.6% |
Total fertility rate
children per woman
- Actual
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2002 | 2015–2020 | 16 years | 1.90 | 2.18 | +15.1% |
| UN 2004 | 2015–2020 | 14 years | 1.97 | 2.18 | +11% |
| UN 2006 | 2015–2020 | 12 years | 1.98 | 2.18 | +10.1% |
| UN 2008 | 2015–2020 | 10 years | 1.98 | 2.18 | +10.1% |
| UN 2010 | 2015–2020 | 8 years | 1.85 | 2.18 | +18.3% |
| UN 2012 | 2015–2020 | 6 years | 2.38 | 2.18 | −8.4% |
| UN 2015 | 2015–2020 | 2 years | 2.18 | 2.18 | 0% |
| UN 2017 | 2015–2020 | 0 years | 2.19 | 2.18 | −0.1% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 2.10 | 2.09 | −0.5% |
All indicators
Demography
Births
0.96k births per year latest value, 2023
Live births per calendar year. UN WPP 2024 and national statistics (64 countries, 2015-2025).
Total fertility rate
2.09 children per woman latest value, 2023
Average number of children a woman would have at the age-specific fertility rates of the year.
Life expectancy at birth, women
81.4 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn girl would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Life expectancy at birth, men
70.5 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn boy would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Median age
44.7 years latest value, 2023
Age that divides the population in two halves (UN).
Mean age of mothers at childbirth
27.7 years latest value, 2023
Mean age of mothers at the birth of their children of any order (UN).
Sex ratio at birth
103.9 boys per 100 girls latest value, 2023
Boys born per 100 girls born (UN).
Net migration
−0.44k persons per year latest value, 2023
Immigrants minus emigrants per year (UN estimate and projection).
Old-age dependency
37.4 persons 65+ per 100 aged 20-64 latest value, 2020
Persons aged 65+ per 100 aged 20-64, every five years (UN).
Digitalisation
Internet users
64.4 % of population latest value, 2017
Share of individuals who used the Internet in the last three months from any device. ITU data.
Mobile cellular subscriptions
91.5 per 100 people latest value, 2022
Active mobile cellular subscriptions per 100 people; can exceed 100 when people have several SIM cards. ITU data.
Fixed broadband subscriptions
10.1 subscriptions per 100 people latest value, 2022
Fixed subscriptions to high-speed Internet (256 kbit/s or more) per 100 people. ITU data.
Economy
GDP per capita, PPP
46,479 constant 2021 international $ latest value, 2022
Gross domestic product per person at purchasing power parity, constant 2021 international dollars (World Bank, ICP).
Society
Urban population
95.4 % of population latest value, 2025
Share of people living in urban areas as defined by national statistical offices (World Bank, from UN World Urbanization Prospects).
Tertiary enrolment, women
48.7 % gross latest value, 1993
Women enrolled in tertiary education as a share of women in the five-year age group after secondary school; can exceed 100 (UNESCO).
Life expectancy at birth
80.8 years latest value, 2024
Life expectancy at birth, both sexes (World Bank, from UN and national statistics).
Same region: Latin America and the Caribbean
AnguillaAntigua and BarbudaArgentinaArubaBahamasBarbadosBelizeBoliviaBonaire, Sint Eustatius and SabaBrazilBritish Virgin IslandsCayman IslandsChileColombiaCosta RicaCubaCuraçaoDominicaDominican RepublicEcuadorEl SalvadorFalkland IslandsFrench GuianaGrenadaGuadeloupeGuatemalaGuyanaHaitiHondurasJamaicaMartiniqueMexicoMontserratNicaraguaPanamaParaguayPeruPuerto RicoSaint BarthélemySaint Kitts and NevisSaint LuciaSaint Martin (French)Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesSint Maarten (Dutch)SurinameTrinidad and TobagoTurks and Caicos IslandsUruguayVenezuela