Population
27.5k persons, 1 July latest value, 2023
Population on 1 July. UN estimate to 2023, medium variant from 2024; past UN revisions for forecast checks.
Saint Martin (French)
All indicators of the Macroscope base for Saint Martin (French), with sources. Below: what past UN and IMF releases projected and what actually happened.
What the data shows
Computed with the same code as the observations under the main chart and in the API (get_insights). Moving together in time does not prove a cause.
How the indicators changed
- Fertility (TFR): 6.49 in 1950 → 2.72 in 2023 (−58%). Low: 2.40 in 2010; +13% since then. The trend broke around 1970 and 1985: −0.01 → −0.23 → 0 a year.
- Births: 0.14k in 1950 → 0.47k in 2023 (×3.3). Peak: 0.91k in 1990; the latest value is 48% lower. The trend broke around 1983 and 1989: 0k → +0.1k → −0.01k a year.
- Population: 2.98k in 1950 → 27.5k in 2023 (×9.2). Peak: 37.5k in 2014; the latest value is 27% lower. The trend broke around 1981 and 1991: +0.17k → +2.22k → +0.17k a year.
- Urban share: 100% in 1960 → 100% in 2025 (0 pp).
What changed at the same time
- The fastest decline of "Fertility (TFR)" was in 1973–1983: 5.64 → 3.15. Over the same years: births 0.24k → 0.32k; population 6.6k → 11.5k; urban share 100% → 100%.
- Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 2.72 → 2.72; births 0.79k → 0.47k; population 37.4k → 27.5k; urban share 100% → 100%.
Forecasts vs actual
- Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 0 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in 1; median gap +15%.
- Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 2.05 (−25% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.80 (−34% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.30.
- Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 0 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in 1; median gap +6.8%.
- Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 0.27k (−42% vs 2023), 2100 — 0.18k (−62% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0.08k.
- Population: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 2 of 2 revisions (2019–2022) and above in none; median gap −23%.
- Population: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 18.8k (−32% vs 2023), 2100 — 20k (−27% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 14.5k.
UN projections vs actual
Solid line: actual data, UN WPP 2024 estimates to 2023, then national statistics where comparable with the UN. Dashed: medium variants of past UN revisions. The table shows what each revision expected for the latest year (or five-year period) with actual data.
Population
persons, 1 July
- Actual
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2019 | 2023 | 4 years | 40.2k | 27.5k | −31.5% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 32.1k | 27.5k | −14.2% |
Births
births per year
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 0.44k | 0.47k | +6.8% |
Total fertility rate
children per woman
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 2.36 | 2.72 | +15.2% |
All indicators
Demography
Births
0.47k births per year latest value, 2023
Live births per calendar year. UN WPP 2024 and national statistics (64 countries, 2015-2025).
Total fertility rate
2.72 children per woman latest value, 2023
Average number of children a woman would have at the age-specific fertility rates of the year.
Life expectancy at birth, women
83.8 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn girl would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Life expectancy at birth, men
76.8 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn boy would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Median age
39.4 years latest value, 2023
Age that divides the population in two halves (UN).
Mean age of mothers at childbirth
30.8 years latest value, 2023
Mean age of mothers at the birth of their children of any order (UN).
Sex ratio at birth
104 boys per 100 girls latest value, 2023
Boys born per 100 girls born (UN).
Net migration
−1.7k persons per year latest value, 2023
Immigrants minus emigrants per year (UN estimate and projection).
Old-age dependency
32.6 persons 65+ per 100 aged 20-64 latest value, 2020
Persons aged 65+ per 100 aged 20-64, every five years (UN).
Society
Urban population
100 % of population latest value, 2025
Share of people living in urban areas as defined by national statistical offices (World Bank, from UN World Urbanization Prospects).
Life expectancy at birth
80.4 years latest value, 2024
Life expectancy at birth, both sexes (World Bank, from UN and national statistics).
Same region: Latin America and the Caribbean
AnguillaAntigua and BarbudaArgentinaArubaBahamasBarbadosBelizeBoliviaBonaire, Sint Eustatius and SabaBrazilBritish Virgin IslandsCayman IslandsChileColombiaCosta RicaCubaCuraçaoDominicaDominican RepublicEcuadorEl SalvadorFalkland IslandsFrench GuianaGrenadaGuadeloupeGuatemalaGuyanaHaitiHondurasJamaicaMartiniqueMexicoMontserratNicaraguaPanamaParaguayPeruPuerto RicoSaint BarthélemySaint Kitts and NevisSaint LuciaSaint Vincent and the GrenadinesSint Maarten (Dutch)SurinameTrinidad and TobagoTurks and Caicos IslandsUS Virgin IslandsUruguayVenezuela