Population
46.2k persons, 1 July latest value, 2023
Population on 1 July. UN estimate to 2023, medium variant from 2024; past UN revisions for forecast checks.
Turks and Caicos Islands
All indicators of the Macroscope base for Turks and Caicos Islands, with sources. Below: what past UN and IMF releases projected and what actually happened.
GDP per capita, PPP
33,391
constant 2021 international $, 2024
What the data shows
Computed with the same code as the observations under the main chart and in the API (get_insights). Moving together in time does not prove a cause.
How the indicators changed
- Fertility (TFR): 5.94 in 1950 → 1.46 in 2023 (−75%). Peak: 6.17 in 1955; the latest value is 76% lower. Thresholds: below 2.1 since 2006, below 1.5 since 2022. The trend broke around 1959 and 2001: +0.02 → −0.09 → −0.04 a year.
- Births: 0.25k in 1950 → 0.5k in 2023 (+96%). Low: 0.17k in 1971; ×3 since then. The trend broke around 1973 and 1999: 0k → +0.01k → 0k a year.
- Population: 5.04k in 1950 → 46.2k in 2023 (×9.2). The trend broke around 1981 and 2001: +0.07k → +0.58k → +1.3k a year.
- Internet: 0% in 1990; no earlier data in this period.
- Urban share: 47.6% in 1960 → 94.4% in 2025 (+47 pp). Thresholds: above 50% since 1968, above 75% since 1991. The trend broke around 1980 and 1995: +0.37 → +1.9 → +0.44 a year.
- GDP per person (PPP): 21,879 PPP dollars in 2007 → 33,391 PPP dollars in 2024 (+53%). Low: 15,462 PPP dollars in 2013; +116% since then.
What changed at the same time
- The fastest decline of "Fertility (TFR)" was in 1982–1992: 4.19 → 2.94. Over the same years: births 0.25k → 0.33k; population 8.3k → 13k; urban share 57.6% → 76.9%; no data for the others in those years.
- Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 1.75 → 1.46; births 0.44k → 0.5k; population 33.7k → 46.2k; urban share 91.3% → 93.9%; GDP per person (PPP) 15,462 PPP dollars → 31,839 PPP dollars; no data for the others in those years.
How the indicators relate
- Fertility (TFR) and urban share (1960–2023, 64 years): levels are strongly related, in opposite directions (r = −0.99); year-to-year changes are related too (r = −0.60). Changes line up from year to year too, which is more than a shared trend.
- Fertility (TFR) and GDP per person (PPP) (2007–2023, 17 years): levels are noticeably related, in opposite directions (r = −0.52); year-to-year changes are related too (r = 0.54). Changes line up from year to year too, which is more than a shared trend.
Forecasts vs actual
- Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −11%.
- Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 1.46 (0% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.53 (+4% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.03.
- Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −10%.
- Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 0.43k (−14% vs 2023), 2100 — 0.29k (−42% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0.1k.
- Population: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 0 of 12 revisions (1998–2022) and above in 12; median gap +22%.
- The UN 1998 projection did not expect today's level (46.2k, 2023) before its horizon ended (2030).
- The UN 2022 projection expected today's level (46.2k, 2023) only around 2024: reality is 1 year ahead of it.
- Population: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 51k (+10% vs 2023), 2100 — 38.7k (−16% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 26.1k.
UN projections vs actual
Solid line: actual data, UN WPP 2024 estimates to 2023, then national statistics where comparable with the UN. Dashed: medium variants of past UN revisions. The table shows what each revision expected for the latest year (or five-year period) with actual data.
Population
persons, 1 July
- Actual
- UN 1998
- UN 2000
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 1998 | 2023 | 25 years | 32.3k | 46.2k | +42.9% |
| UN 2000 | 2023 | 23 years | 30.2k | 46.2k | +52.9% |
| UN 2002 | 2023 | 21 years | 34.1k | 46.2k | +35.6% |
| UN 2004 | 2023 | 19 years | 31.8k | 46.2k | +45.5% |
| UN 2006 | 2023 | 17 years | 29.5k | 46.2k | +56.7% |
| UN 2008 | 2023 | 15 years | 37.2k | 46.2k | +24.2% |
| UN 2010 | 2023 | 13 years | 43.4k | 46.2k | +6.5% |
| UN 2012 | 2023 | 11 years | 38.3k | 46.2k | +20.8% |
| UN 2015 | 2023 | 8 years | 38.4k | 46.2k | +20.3% |
| UN 2017 | 2023 | 6 years | 38.4k | 46.2k | +20.3% |
| UN 2019 | 2023 | 4 years | 40.3k | 46.2k | +14.8% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 46.1k | 46.2k | +0.3% |
Births
births per year
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 0.55k | 0.5k | −10.3% |
Total fertility rate
children per woman
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 1.65 | 1.46 | −11.1% |
All indicators
Demography
Births
0.5k births per year latest value, 2023
Live births per calendar year. UN WPP 2024 and national statistics (64 countries, 2015-2025).
Total fertility rate
1.46 children per woman latest value, 2023
Average number of children a woman would have at the age-specific fertility rates of the year.
Life expectancy at birth, women
80.3 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn girl would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Life expectancy at birth, men
75.8 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn boy would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Median age
38.3 years latest value, 2023
Age that divides the population in two halves (UN).
Mean age of mothers at childbirth
30.4 years latest value, 2023
Mean age of mothers at the birth of their children of any order (UN).
Sex ratio at birth
104.9 boys per 100 girls latest value, 2023
Boys born per 100 girls born (UN).
Net migration
0.19k persons per year latest value, 2023
Immigrants minus emigrants per year (UN estimate and projection).
Old-age dependency
14.9 persons 65+ per 100 aged 20-64 latest value, 2020
Persons aged 65+ per 100 aged 20-64, every five years (UN).
Digitalisation
Internet users
0 % of population latest value, 1990
Share of individuals who used the Internet in the last three months from any device. ITU data.
Mobile cellular subscriptions
109.8 per 100 people latest value, 2004
Active mobile cellular subscriptions per 100 people; can exceed 100 when people have several SIM cards. ITU data.
Economy
GDP per capita, PPP
33,391 constant 2021 international $ latest value, 2024
Gross domestic product per person at purchasing power parity, constant 2021 international dollars (World Bank, ICP).
Society
Urban population
94.4 % of population latest value, 2025
Share of people living in urban areas as defined by national statistical offices (World Bank, from UN World Urbanization Prospects).
Tertiary enrolment, women
32.9 % gross latest value, 2023
Women enrolled in tertiary education as a share of women in the five-year age group after secondary school; can exceed 100 (UNESCO).
Women with upper secondary education
74.8 % of women 25+ latest value, 2019
Share of women aged 25+ who completed at least upper secondary education (UNESCO).
Life expectancy at birth
78.2 years latest value, 2024
Life expectancy at birth, both sexes (World Bank, from UN and national statistics).
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