Population
42.8k persons, 1 July latest value, 2023
Population on 1 July. UN estimate to 2023, medium variant from 2024; past UN revisions for forecast checks.
Sint Maarten (Dutch)
All indicators of the Macroscope base for Sint Maarten (Dutch), with sources. Below: what past UN and IMF releases projected and what actually happened.
GDP per capita, PPP
48,273
constant 2021 international $, 2025
What the data shows
Computed with the same code as the observations under the main chart and in the API (get_insights). Moving together in time does not prove a cause.
How the indicators changed
- Fertility (TFR): 5.26 in 1950 → 1.45 in 2023 (−72%). Thresholds: below 2.1 since 1999, below 1.5 since 2019. The trend broke around 1959 and 1982: −0.05 → −0.11 → −0.02 a year.
- Births: 0.06k in 1950 → 0.39k in 2023 (×7). Peak: 0.69k in 1995; the latest value is 43% lower. The trend broke around 1972 and 1992: +0.01k → +0.02k → −0.01k a year.
- Population: 1.45k in 1950 → 42.8k in 2023 (×29). The trend broke around 1978 and 1991: +0.33k → +1.48k → +0.37k a year.
- Urban share: 100% in 1960 → 100% in 2025 (0 pp).
- GDP per person (PPP): 50,981 PPP dollars in 2009 → 48,273 PPP dollars in 2025 (−5%). Peak: 53,786 PPP dollars in 2011; the latest value is 10% lower.
What changed at the same time
- The fastest decline of "Fertility (TFR)" was in 1963–1973: 4.47 → 3.11. Over the same years: births 0.1k → 0.21k; population 3.58k → 7.92k; urban share 100% → 100%; no data for the others in those years.
- Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 1.89 → 1.45; births 0.49k → 0.39k; population 35.9k → 42.8k; urban share 100% → 100%; GDP per person (PPP) 52,801 PPP dollars → 46,571 PPP dollars.
How the indicators relate
- Fertility (TFR) and GDP per person (PPP) (2009–2023, 15 years): levels are strongly related, in the same direction (r = 0.88); year-to-year changes show no reliable link (r = 0.35). This looks like a shared trend: both change over time, but not in step from year to year.
Forecasts vs actual
- Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −7.5%.
- Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 1.46 (+1% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.53 (+6% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.03.
- Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −0.8%.
- The UN 2022 projection expected this level (0.39k) already around 2022: reality is 1 year behind it.
- Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 0.42k (+7% vs 2023), 2100 — 0.32k (−18% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0.12k.
- Population: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 5 of 5 revisions (2012–2022) and above in none; median gap −3.3%.
- The UN 2015 projection expected this level (42.8k) already around 2022: reality is 1 year behind it.
- The UN 2017 projection expected this level (42.8k) already around 2022: reality is 1 year behind it.
- Population: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 51k (+19% vs 2023), 2100 — 42.3k (−1% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 29.4k.
UN projections vs actual
Solid line: actual data, UN WPP 2024 estimates to 2023, then national statistics where comparable with the UN. Dashed: medium variants of past UN revisions. The table shows what each revision expected for the latest year (or five-year period) with actual data.
Population
persons, 1 July
- Actual
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2012 | 2023 | 11 years | 52.8k | 42.8k | −19% |
| UN 2015 | 2023 | 8 years | 42.8k | 42.8k | −0.2% |
| UN 2017 | 2023 | 6 years | 42.8k | 42.8k | −0.2% |
| UN 2019 | 2023 | 4 years | 44.5k | 42.8k | −4% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 44.2k | 42.8k | −3.3% |
Births
births per year
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 0.39k | 0.39k | −0.8% |
Total fertility rate
children per woman
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 1.57 | 1.45 | −7.5% |
All indicators
Demography
Births
0.39k births per year latest value, 2023
Live births per calendar year. UN WPP 2024 and national statistics (64 countries, 2015-2025).
Total fertility rate
1.45 children per woman latest value, 2023
Average number of children a woman would have at the age-specific fertility rates of the year.
Life expectancy at birth, women
79.5 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn girl would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Life expectancy at birth, men
73.7 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn boy would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Median age
41.6 years latest value, 2023
Age that divides the population in two halves (UN).
Mean age of mothers at childbirth
28.9 years latest value, 2023
Mean age of mothers at the birth of their children of any order (UN).
Sex ratio at birth
103.9 boys per 100 girls latest value, 2023
Boys born per 100 girls born (UN).
Net migration
0.57k persons per year latest value, 2023
Immigrants minus emigrants per year (UN estimate and projection).
Old-age dependency
17.5 persons 65+ per 100 aged 20-64 latest value, 2020
Persons aged 65+ per 100 aged 20-64, every five years (UN).
Digitalisation
Mobile cellular subscriptions
205.4 per 100 people latest value, 2022
Active mobile cellular subscriptions per 100 people; can exceed 100 when people have several SIM cards. ITU data.
Economy
GDP per capita, PPP
48,273 constant 2021 international $ latest value, 2025
Gross domestic product per person at purchasing power parity, constant 2021 international dollars (World Bank, ICP).
Society
Urban population
100 % of population latest value, 2025
Share of people living in urban areas as defined by national statistical offices (World Bank, from UN World Urbanization Prospects).
Tertiary enrolment, women
12.6 % gross latest value, 2023
Women enrolled in tertiary education as a share of women in the five-year age group after secondary school; can exceed 100 (UNESCO).
Life expectancy at birth
76.5 years latest value, 2024
Life expectancy at birth, both sexes (World Bank, from UN and national statistics).
Same region: Latin America and the Caribbean
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