Population
875k persons, 1 July latest value, 2023
Population on 1 July. UN estimate to 2023, medium variant from 2024; past UN revisions for forecast checks.
Réunion
All indicators of the Macroscope base for Réunion, with sources. Below: what past UN and IMF releases projected and what actually happened.
What the data shows
Computed with the same code as the observations under the main chart and in the API (get_insights). Moving together in time does not prove a cause.
How the indicators changed
- Fertility (TFR): 6.96 in 1950 → 2.17 in 2023 (−69%). The trend broke around 1965 and 1980: −0.08 → −0.22 → −0.01 a year.
- Births: 12.6k in 1950 → 12k in 2023 (−5%). Peak: 16.6k in 1965; the latest value is 28% lower. The trend broke around 1997 and 2004: −0.04k → +0.42k → −0.23k a year.
- Population: 249k in 1950 → 875k in 2023 (×3.5). The trend broke around 2009: change slowed down (+9.72k → +2.15k a year).
What changed at the same time
- The fastest decline of "Fertility (TFR)" was in 1965–1975: 6.15 → 3.65. Over the same years: births 16.6k → 14.5k; population 419k → 511k.
- Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 2.22 → 2.17; births 13.6k → 12k; population 848k → 875k.
Forecasts vs actual
- Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 4 of 11 revisions (1998–2022) and above in 7; median gap +2.9%.
- The UN 2004 projection expected this level (2.17) already around 2019: reality is 4 years behind it.
- The UN 2022 projection expected today's level (2.17, 2023) only around 2025: reality is 2 years ahead of it.
- Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 1.91 (−12% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.78 (−18% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.28.
- Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 8 of 11 revisions (1998–2022) and above in 3; median gap −11%.
- The UN 1998 projection expected this level (12k) already around 2002: reality is 21 years behind it.
- Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 10.6k (−12% vs 2023), 2100 — 7.58k (−37% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 2.89k.
- Population: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 11 of 12 revisions (1998–2022) and above in 1; median gap −6.4%.
- The UN 2000 projection expected this level (875k) already around 2019: reality is 4 years behind it.
- The UN 2017 projection expected this level (875k) already around 2016: reality is 7 years behind it.
- Population: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 941k (+8% vs 2023), 2100 — 852k (−3% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 587k.
UN projections vs actual
Solid line: actual data, UN WPP 2024 estimates to 2023, then national statistics where comparable with the UN. Dashed: medium variants of past UN revisions. The table shows what each revision expected for the latest year (or five-year period) with actual data.
Population
persons, 1 July
- Actual
- UN 1998
- UN 2000
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 1998 | 2023 | 25 years | 868k | 875k | +0.8% |
| UN 2000 | 2023 | 23 years | 898k | 875k | −2.6% |
| UN 2002 | 2023 | 21 years | 920k | 875k | −4.9% |
| UN 2004 | 2023 | 19 years | 956k | 875k | −8.5% |
| UN 2006 | 2023 | 17 years | 950k | 875k | −7.9% |
| UN 2008 | 2023 | 15 years | 957k | 875k | −8.6% |
| UN 2010 | 2023 | 13 years | 959k | 875k | −8.7% |
| UN 2012 | 2023 | 11 years | 967k | 875k | −9.5% |
| UN 2015 | 2023 | 8 years | 910k | 875k | −3.9% |
| UN 2017 | 2023 | 6 years | 916k | 875k | −4.5% |
| UN 2019 | 2023 | 4 years | 914k | 875k | −4.3% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 982k | 875k | −10.9% |
Births
births per year
- Actual
- UN 1998
- UN 2000
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 1998 | 2015–2020 | 20 years | 12k | 12.6k | +4.8% |
| UN 2000 | 2015–2020 | 18 years | 12.5k | 12.6k | +0.3% |
| UN 2002 | 2015–2020 | 16 years | 13.2k | 12.6k | −5.1% |
| UN 2004 | 2015–2020 | 14 years | 14.6k | 12.6k | −14.1% |
| UN 2006 | 2015–2020 | 12 years | 14.1k | 12.6k | −11.2% |
| UN 2008 | 2015–2020 | 10 years | 14.6k | 12.6k | −14.2% |
| UN 2010 | 2015–2020 | 8 years | 14.2k | 12.6k | −11.7% |
| UN 2012 | 2015–2020 | 6 years | 14.1k | 12.6k | −11% |
| UN 2015 | 2015–2020 | 2 years | 12.5k | 12.6k | +0.4% |
| UN 2017 | 2015–2020 | 0 years | 13.1k | 12.6k | −4.2% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 13.9k | 12k | −13.7% |
Total fertility rate
children per woman
- Actual
- UN 1998
- UN 2000
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 1998 | 2015–2020 | 20 years | 1.90 | 2.19 | +15.1% |
| UN 2000 | 2015–2020 | 18 years | 1.90 | 2.19 | +15.1% |
| UN 2002 | 2015–2020 | 16 years | 2.00 | 2.19 | +9.2% |
| UN 2004 | 2015–2020 | 14 years | 2.21 | 2.19 | −0.9% |
| UN 2006 | 2015–2020 | 12 years | 2.15 | 2.19 | +1.9% |
| UN 2008 | 2015–2020 | 10 years | 2.22 | 2.19 | −1.6% |
| UN 2010 | 2015–2020 | 8 years | 2.13 | 2.19 | +2.9% |
| UN 2012 | 2015–2020 | 6 years | 2.11 | 2.19 | +3.5% |
| UN 2015 | 2015–2020 | 2 years | 2.12 | 2.19 | +3.1% |
| UN 2017 | 2015–2020 | 0 years | 2.27 | 2.19 | −3.8% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 2.20 | 2.17 | −1.1% |
All indicators
Demography
Births
12k births per year latest value, 2023
Live births per calendar year. UN WPP 2024 and national statistics (64 countries, 2015-2025).
Total fertility rate
2.17 children per woman latest value, 2023
Average number of children a woman would have at the age-specific fertility rates of the year.
Life expectancy at birth, women
86.3 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn girl would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Life expectancy at birth, men
80.5 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn boy would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Median age
37.4 years latest value, 2023
Age that divides the population in two halves (UN).
Mean age of mothers at childbirth
30.4 years latest value, 2023
Mean age of mothers at the birth of their children of any order (UN).
Sex ratio at birth
103 boys per 100 girls latest value, 2023
Boys born per 100 girls born (UN).
Net migration
−3.62k persons per year latest value, 2023
Immigrants minus emigrants per year (UN estimate and projection).
Old-age dependency
23.1 persons 65+ per 100 aged 20-64 latest value, 2020
Persons aged 65+ per 100 aged 20-64, every five years (UN).
Same region: Africa
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