Population
5.68k persons, 1 July latest value, 2023
Population on 1 July. UN estimate to 2023, medium variant from 2024; past UN revisions for forecast checks.
Saint Pierre and Miquelon
All indicators of the Macroscope base for Saint Pierre and Miquelon, with sources. Below: what past UN and IMF releases projected and what actually happened.
What the data shows
Computed with the same code as the observations under the main chart and in the API (get_insights). Moving together in time does not prove a cause.
How the indicators changed
- Fertility (TFR): 3.86 in 1950 → 1.27 in 2023 (−67%). Peak: 5.99 in 1957; the latest value is 79% lower. Thresholds: below 2.1 since 1995, below 1.5 since 2017. The trend broke around 1956 and 1975: +0.3 → −0.15 → −0.02 a year.
- Births: 0.12k in 1950 → 0.03k in 2023 (−76%). Peak: 0.2k in 1957; the latest value is 85% lower. The trend broke around 1957 and 1963: +0.01k → −0.01k → 0k a year.
- Population: 4.49k in 1950 → 5.68k in 2023 (+27%). Peak: 6.44k in 1995; the latest value is 12% lower. The trend broke around 1978 and 1994: +0.06k → +0.02k → −0.02k a year.
What changed at the same time
- The fastest decline of "Fertility (TFR)" was in 1958–1968: 5.78 → 3.22. Over the same years: births 0.19k → 0.12k; population 4.9k → 5.47k.
- Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 1.62 → 1.27; births 0.05k → 0.03k; population 5.98k → 5.68k.
Forecasts vs actual
- Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −19%.
- Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 1.38 (+9% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.48 (+17% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0.98.
- Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −30%.
- Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 0.03k (−13% vs 2023), 2100 — 0.01k (−57% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0k.
- Population: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 12 of 12 revisions (1998–2022) and above in none; median gap −11%.
- Population: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 4.26k (−25% vs 2023), 2100 — 2.01k (−65% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.18k.
UN projections vs actual
Solid line: actual data, UN WPP 2024 estimates to 2023, then national statistics where comparable with the UN. Dashed: medium variants of past UN revisions. The table shows what each revision expected for the latest year (or five-year period) with actual data.
Population
persons, 1 July
- Actual
- UN 1998
- UN 2000
- UN 2002
- UN 2004
- UN 2006
- UN 2008
- UN 2010
- UN 2012
- UN 2015
- UN 2017
- UN 2019
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 1998 | 2023 | 25 years | 7.11k | 5.68k | −20.1% |
| UN 2000 | 2023 | 23 years | 7.93k | 5.68k | −28.4% |
| UN 2002 | 2023 | 21 years | 6.28k | 5.68k | −9.6% |
| UN 2004 | 2023 | 19 years | 6.86k | 5.68k | −17.2% |
| UN 2006 | 2023 | 17 years | 6.42k | 5.68k | −11.5% |
| UN 2008 | 2023 | 15 years | 6.04k | 5.68k | −6% |
| UN 2010 | 2023 | 13 years | 6.04k | 5.68k | −5.9% |
| UN 2012 | 2023 | 11 years | 6.04k | 5.68k | −6% |
| UN 2015 | 2023 | 8 years | 6.55k | 5.68k | −13.3% |
| UN 2017 | 2023 | 6 years | 6.55k | 5.68k | −13.3% |
| UN 2019 | 2023 | 4 years | 5.75k | 5.68k | −1.2% |
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 5.84k | 5.68k | −2.7% |
Births
births per year
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 0.04k | 0.03k | −30.2% |
Total fertility rate
children per woman
- Actual
- UN 2022
- UN 2024, medium
| Release | Target period | Horizon | Expected | Actual | Actual vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2023 | 1 year | 1.57 | 1.27 | −19% |
All indicators
Demography
Births
0.03k births per year latest value, 2023
Live births per calendar year. UN WPP 2024 and national statistics (64 countries, 2015-2025).
Total fertility rate
1.27 children per woman latest value, 2023
Average number of children a woman would have at the age-specific fertility rates of the year.
Life expectancy at birth, women
81.5 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn girl would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Life expectancy at birth, men
72.8 years latest value, 2023
Years a newborn boy would live at the mortality rates of the year (UN).
Median age
46.4 years latest value, 2023
Age that divides the population in two halves (UN).
Mean age of mothers at childbirth
29.2 years latest value, 2023
Mean age of mothers at the birth of their children of any order (UN).
Sex ratio at birth
105.4 boys per 100 girls latest value, 2023
Boys born per 100 girls born (UN).
Net migration
0 persons per year latest value, 2023
Immigrants minus emigrants per year (UN estimate and projection).
Old-age dependency
31.1 persons 65+ per 100 aged 20-64 latest value, 2020
Persons aged 65+ per 100 aged 20-64, every five years (UN).