{"location":{"code":"KOR","name":"Южная Корея"},"assumptions":{"fertility":{"mode":"freeze","window":10,"floor":0.6,"target":1,"by":2040,"latest_actual":{"value":0.8,"year":2025,"source":"national"}},"mortality":{"mode":"un","shift":0},"migration":{"mode":"un","value":0},"from_year":2024,"to_year":2100,"base":"Возрастная структура ООН на 1 июля 2024 года."},"columns":["year","population_k","births_k","deaths_k","pop_0_19_k","pop_20_64_k","pop_65_plus_k","pop_80_plus_k","old_age_dependency","median_age","tfr"],"units":"тыс. человек; births_k и deaths_k — за календарный год; old_age_dependency — людей 65+ на 100 человек 20–64 лет","rows":[[2024,51720.5,null,null,7768.4,33984,9968.1,2443.2,29.3,46.1,0.75],[2029,51376.4,253.4,417.9,6855.8,32067.5,12453,2997.8,38.8,48.9,0.8],[2034,50546.6,232.1,481.9,5829.4,30210.8,14506.4,3679.5,48,51.6,0.8],[2039,49171.6,212.7,542.9,5019.8,27798.1,16353.7,4907.1,58.8,54,0.8],[2044,47349.1,193.8,599.4,4715.9,25354,17279.2,6248.4,68.2,55.9,0.8],[2049,45132.2,167.5,645.9,4315.7,22843.3,17973.2,7183.5,78.7,57.8,0.8],[2054,42481.7,142.1,676.5,3854.4,20934,17693.2,7930.5,84.5,59.7,0.8],[2059,39539.7,125.8,682.5,3383.6,18663.7,17492.4,8032.5,93.7,61.6,0.8],[2064,36521.1,114.2,666.9,2927.5,16395.1,17198.5,8167.6,104.9,63.1,0.8],[2069,33591.6,104.7,635,2543,14588.3,16460.3,7787.8,112.8,64.3,0.8],[2074,30770.9,96,599.3,2279.7,12983.9,15507.3,7740.2,119.4,65.3,0.8],[2079,28099.6,85.8,559.3,2093.9,11263.9,14741.8,7772.6,130.9,66.5,0.8],[2084,25559.7,74.6,523.3,1910,9869.8,13779.9,7478.6,139.6,67.7,0.8],[2089,23136,65.1,481.9,1708.5,9013.9,12413.6,7021.3,137.7,68.2,0.8],[2094,20855.7,58.1,451.9,1501.1,8099.5,11255.2,6737.2,139,68,0.8],[2099,18756.4,53,420.4,1310,7261.4,10185,6281,140.3,68.2,0.8],[2100,18354.6,52,413.2,1275,7106.7,9972.9,6136.2,140.3,68.3,0.8]],"compare_with_un_medium":[{"year":2050,"scenario_population_k":44626.7,"un_medium_population_k":45143,"scenario_births_k":161.8,"un_medium_births_k":211.3},{"year":2075,"scenario_population_k":30223.7,"un_medium_population_k":31975,"scenario_births_k":94.2,"un_medium_births_k":159.7},{"year":2100,"scenario_population_k":18354.6,"un_medium_population_k":21849,"scenario_births_k":52,"un_medium_births_k":119.2}],"notes":["Сценарий — арифметика при заданных допущениях, а не прогноз.","Модель воспроизводит средний вариант ООН с медианной ошибкой 0,3–0,5% до 2100 года; после 2100 года допущения заморожены."]}