{"locations":[{"code":"FRO","name":"Faroe Islands","page":"https://macroscope.reasonful.com/en/country/FRO/"}],"indicators":[{"id":"tfr","title":"Total fertility rate","unit":"children per woman"},{"id":"births","title":"Births","unit":"thousand births per year"},{"id":"internet_users","title":"Internet users","unit":"% of population"},{"id":"urban_population","title":"Urban population","unit":"% of population"},{"id":"gdp_per_capita_ppp","title":"GDP per capita, PPP","unit":"constant 2021 international $"}],"from_year":1950,"to_year":2100,"sections":[{"id":"dyn","title":"How the indicators changed","items":[{"kind":"dynamics","indicators":["tfr"],"text":"Fertility (TFR): 3.85 in 1950 → 2.24 in 2023 (−42%). Peak: 4.09 in 1965; the latest value is 45% lower. The trend broke around 1966 and 1978: +0.02 → −0.13 → 0 a year.","data":{"indicator":"tfr","from":1950,"to":2023,"first":3.846,"last":2.24,"peak":{"year":1965,"value":4.086},"breaks":[{"year":1966,"slope_before":0.0234,"slope_after":-0.125},{"year":1978,"slope_before":-0.125,"slope_after":-0.00166}]}},{"kind":"dynamics","indicators":["births"],"text":"Births: 0.88k in 1950 → 0.69k in 2023 (−21%). Peak: 0.96k in 1990; the latest value is 28% lower. The trend broke around 1991 and 1997: 0k → −0.02k → 0k a year.","data":{"indicator":"births","from":1950,"to":2023,"first":0.878,"last":0.69,"peak":{"year":1990,"value":0.961},"breaks":[{"year":1991,"slope_before":-0.000326,"slope_after":-0.0239},{"year":1997,"slope_before":-0.0239,"slope_after":0.00000194}]}},{"kind":"dynamics","indicators":["internet_users"],"text":"Internet: 0% in 1990 → 97.6% in 2017 (+98 pp). Thresholds: above 10% since 1998, above 50% since 2002, above 90% since 2013. Fastest growth in 1997–2002: 4.6% → 53.3%.","data":{"indicator":"internet_users","from":1990,"to":2017,"first":0,"last":97.582,"thresholds":[{"threshold":10,"year":1998,"direction":"above"},{"threshold":50,"year":2002,"direction":"above"},{"threshold":90,"year":2013,"direction":"above"}],"fastest_growth":{"from":1997,"to":2002,"start":4.6,"end":53.2992}}},{"kind":"dynamics","indicators":["urban_population"],"text":"Urban share: 21% in 1960 → 39.6% in 2025 (+19 pp). The trend broke around 1974: change slowed down (+0.68 → +0.18 a year).","data":{"indicator":"urban_population","from":1960,"to":2025,"first":20.9985,"last":39.6433,"breaks":[{"year":1974,"slope_before":0.68,"slope_after":0.178}]}},{"kind":"dynamics","indicators":["gdp_per_capita_ppp"],"text":"GDP per person (PPP): 54,263 PPP dollars in 2008 → 72,114 PPP dollars in 2024 (+33%). Low: 51,480 PPP dollars in 2010; +40% since then.","data":{"indicator":"gdp_per_capita_ppp","from":2008,"to":2024,"first":54263.3264,"last":72113.6514,"trough":{"year":2010,"value":51480.252}}}]},{"id":"together","title":"What changed at the same time","items":[{"kind":"episode","indicators":["tfr","births","internet_users","urban_population","gdp_per_capita_ppp"],"text":"The fastest decline of \"Fertility (TFR)\" was in 1966–1976: 4.04 → 2.74. Over the same years: births 0.91k → 0.76k; urban share 25.4% → 31.3%; no data for the others in those years.","data":{"focus":"tfr","from":1966,"to":1976,"start":4.044,"end":2.742,"others":[{"id":"births","from":1966,"to":1976,"start":0.905,"end":0.755},{"id":"internet_users","data":null},{"id":"urban_population","from":1966,"to":1976,"start":25.4225,"end":31.2553},{"id":"gdp_per_capita_ppp","data":null}]}},{"kind":"last_decade","indicators":["tfr","births","internet_users","urban_population","gdp_per_capita_ppp"],"text":"Over the last 10 years (2013–2023): fertility (TFR) 2.54 → 2.24; births 0.64k → 0.69k; internet 90% (2013); urban share 37.7% → 39.2%; GDP per person (PPP) 60,950 PPP dollars → 71,828 PPP dollars.","data":{"focus":"tfr","from":2013,"to":2023,"start":2.538,"end":2.24,"others":[{"id":"births","from":2013,"to":2023,"start":0.643,"end":0.69},{"id":"internet_users","year":2013,"value":90},{"id":"urban_population","from":2013,"to":2023,"start":37.7415,"end":39.1975},{"id":"gdp_per_capita_ppp","from":2013,"to":2023,"start":60950.031,"end":71828.4343}]}}]},{"id":"links","title":"How the indicators relate","items":[{"kind":"relationship","indicators":["tfr","births"],"text":"Fertility (TFR) and births (1950–2023, 74 years): levels are noticeably related, in the same direction (r = 0.69); year-to-year changes are related too (r = 0.87). Changes line up from year to year too, which is more than a shared trend.","data":{"a":"tfr","b":"births","from":1950,"to":2023,"years":74,"r_levels":0.686,"r_changes":0.866,"effective_pairs_changes":59,"changes_significant":true,"lag":null}},{"kind":"relationship","indicators":["tfr","internet_users"],"text":"Fertility (TFR) and internet (1990–2017, 24 years): levels are barely related (r = −0.05); year-to-year changes show no reliable link (r = 0.18).","data":{"a":"tfr","b":"internet_users","from":1990,"to":2017,"years":24,"r_levels":-0.052,"r_changes":0.176,"effective_pairs_changes":22,"changes_significant":false,"lag":null}},{"kind":"relationship","indicators":["tfr","urban_population"],"text":"Fertility (TFR) and urban share (1960–2023, 64 years): levels are strongly related, in opposite directions (r = −0.87); year-to-year changes show no reliable link (r = −0.10). This looks like a shared trend: both change over time, but not in step from year to year.","data":{"a":"tfr","b":"urban_population","from":1960,"to":2023,"years":64,"r_levels":-0.867,"r_changes":-0.1,"effective_pairs_changes":60,"changes_significant":false,"lag":null}},{"kind":"relationship","indicators":["tfr","gdp_per_capita_ppp"],"text":"Fertility (TFR) and GDP per person (PPP) (2008–2023, 16 years): levels are noticeably related, in opposite directions (r = −0.48); year-to-year changes show no reliable link (r = 0.44).","data":{"a":"tfr","b":"gdp_per_capita_ppp","from":2008,"to":2023,"years":16,"r_levels":-0.481,"r_changes":0.435,"effective_pairs_changes":15,"changes_significant":false,"lag":null}}]},{"id":"fc","title":"Forecasts vs actual","items":[{"kind":"forecast_errors","indicators":["tfr"],"source":"wpp","text":"Fertility (TFR): past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −17%.","data":{"releases":[{"release":"wpp2022","year":2023,"period":1,"expected":2.705,"actual":2.24,"gap_pct":-17.19}],"actual_lower":1,"actual_higher":0,"median_gap_pct":-17.19,"gap":"actual / expected − 1, percent; the latest checked period of each revision"}},{"kind":"forecast_hit","indicators":["tfr"],"source":"wpp","text":"The UN 2022 projection expected today's level (2.24, 2023) only around 2048: reality is 25 years ahead of it.","data":{"release":"wpp2022","latest_year":2023,"latest_value":2.24,"verdict":"reality_ahead_of_projection","year_expected":2048,"years":25,"projection_end":2100}},{"kind":"outlook","indicators":["tfr"],"source":"wpp","text":"Fertility (TFR): UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 1.97 (−12% vs 2023), 2100 — 1.79 (−20% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 1.29.","data":{"release":"wpp2024","variant":"medium","base":{"year":2023,"value":2.24},"values":{"2050":1.97,"2100":1.794},"low_2100":1.294}},{"kind":"forecast_errors","indicators":["births"],"source":"wpp","text":"Births: past UN projections. The outcome was below the projection in 1 of 1 revisions (2022–2022) and above in none; median gap −12%.","data":{"releases":[{"release":"wpp2022","year":2023,"period":1,"expected":0.787,"actual":0.69,"gap_pct":-12.33}],"actual_lower":1,"actual_higher":0,"median_gap_pct":-12.33,"gap":"actual / expected − 1, percent; the latest checked period of each revision"}},{"kind":"outlook","indicators":["births"],"source":"wpp","text":"Births: UN 2024 projection (medium): 2050 — 0.74k (+7% vs 2023), 2100 — 0.58k (−16% vs 2023); low variant for 2100: 0.23k.","data":{"release":"wpp2024","variant":"medium","base":{"year":2023,"value":0.69},"values":{"2050":0.736,"2100":0.583},"low_2100":0.234}}]}],"caveat":"Moving together in time does not prove a cause: incomes, cities, education and the era itself act on many indicators at once. These observations suggest where to look, not what causes what.","view_url":"https://macroscope.reasonful.com/en/?c=FRO&i=tfr,births,internet_users,urban_population,gdp_per_capita_ppp&from=1950&to=2100&past=1","how_to_read":"text: a ready sentence with numbers; data: the same numbers for calculations. The first indicator is the focus the others are compared with. Relationships are checked in levels (r) and in year-to-year changes (r_changes: the changes have their own linear trend removed; significance corrected for autocorrelation); lag is the shift at which changes line up best. UN errors: actual / projected − 1; IMF: actual − forecast. view_url opens the same view on the site."}